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Pengfei Jia


Pengfei is currently a PhD student in economics being funded by the School of Social Sciences, The University of Manchester.

Pengfei received his Bachelor degree in economics in 2011 from Henan University, China. In 2012, he graduated with a Master of Professional Business Studies (Economics) degree with Distinction from Auckland University of Technology, New Zealand. In 2013, Pengfei was awarded with the Business and Law Postgraduate Academic Excellence Scholarship to pursue his Master of Business (Economics) degree at AUT University. He graduated with MBus (Economics) with First Class Honours (top graduate) in 2014. He was also a recipient of research studentship from the Department of Strategy and Planning at AUT University for his master dissertation.

Prior to starting his PhD, Pengfei worked as an economic researcher at the Department of Strategy and Planning at AUT University. His research project 'Using Predictive Risk Modelling to Identify Students at Risk of Poor University Outcomes' with Prof Tim Maloney has developed simple, low-cost tools that would allow universities to identify and intervene on vulnerable students when they first arrive on campus, by using administrative data.

Research interests

Pengfei’s research focuses on International Macroeconomics, Monetary Economics, DSGE models and Central Banking. He is developing an open-economy DSGE model which is used to examine the role of capital controls, he is also estimating the model using Bayesian techniques. His PhD thesis title is 'External Shocks, Capital Controls and Macroprudential Regulation in a Small Open Economy'.


Working papers

Jia, Pengfei, and Maloney, Tim. (2014). Using Predictive Risk Modelling to Identify Students at Risk of Poor University Outcomes. Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Auckland University of Technology, 2014/03. Revised and Resubmitted at Higher Education.

Conference and seminar presentations

'Financial Crisis and Persistence: Evidence from Sticky Expectations Consumptions Growth Model' at 17th Annual Waikato Management School Student Research Conference, Hamilton, 17-18 October 2013

'Using PRM to Identify Students at Risk of Paper Non-Completion and Programme Non-Retention', AUT University, Auckland, 26 September 2013

Contact information

School of Social Science
The University of Manchester
3rd Floor, Arthur Lewis Building
Oxford Road
Manchester, M13 9PL, UK

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